Ukraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for Europe International economy Beatriz Villafranca Serrano April 22nd, 2025
The decline in interest rates reignites investment in commercial real estate Pedro Álvarez Ondina March 27th, 2025
Monitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real time Spanish economy Josep Mestres Domènech Zoel Martín Vilató April 22nd, 2025
Financial Markets Daily Report 12 May 2025 Investors ended the week on a cautious, yet slightly positive note. All eyes were on the trade talks between China and the US that took place over the weekend. Trump floated in social media an alternative tariff level of 80% on Friday (compared to the current 145%). Both sides have touted progress in the talks, but have offered few details so far. Opinion Trump tariffs: an own goal? Trump’s tariffs will not serve to reduce the trade deficit, to recover jobs in sectors in which the US has long lost its competitive advantages or to balance the fiscal deficit. Meanwhile, the price to pay is a return to a fragmented world and the destabilisation of the… José Ramón Díez 16 April 2025 Germany Germany’s fiscal shift and the bund: when security comes at a price We analyse how the agreement to reform the constitutional debt ceiling and boost defence spending will impact German sovereign debt and the yield on the 10-year bund. David del Val 22 April 2025 European Union A shift in the EU’s political priorities The new European Commission has completed its first 100 days amid turmoil in transatlantic relations. The implementation of Trump’s agenda (and the accompanying drama) is accelerating the change in political priorities that was already foreseen for von der Leyen’s second… David Martínez Turégano 02 April 2025 Energy Ukraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for Europe One of the most highly debated issues around a partial or total peace agreement and the process of Ukraine’s reconstruction is what will happen to the European energy scenario. Will Europe once again be a major customer of Russian energy? Beatriz Villafranca Serrano 22 April 2025 Opinion The Spanish economy in the face of the Trump shock Oriol Aspachs 16 April 2025 Labour market & demographics AIReF’s evaluation of the pension reform: first match ball saved, but with big challenges on the horizon Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025 Consumption Monitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real time Josep Mestres Domènech Zoel Martín Vilató 22 April 2025 Foreign sector The high lending capacity continues to help reduce Spain’s foreign debt Sergio Díaz 22 April 2025 Foreign sector The diversification of Spain’s export destinations Anna Bahí Esteba 22 April 2025 Savings Increase in Spanish household savings in 2024 Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025 Publications Monthly ReportApril 2025 | No. 49922 April 2025 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 April 2025 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. The expansive cycle takes hold S1 2025 Sectorial ReportTourism. The Spanish tourism sector: no signs of cyclical exhaustion S1 2025 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S2 2024 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. Spain’s agrifood sector enjoys a revival 2024 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook15 April 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Trump tariffs: an own goal? José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month The Spanish economy in the face of the Trump shock Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Recommended Labour market & demographics AIReF’s evaluation of the pension reform: first match ball saved, but with big challenges on the horizon Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025 Portugal outlook Portugal kicks off 2025 with a slight loss of traction in economic activity CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025 Foreign sector The high lending capacity continues to help reduce Spain’s foreign debt Sergio Díaz 22 April 2025 Foreign sector The diversification of Spain’s export destinations Anna Bahí Esteba 22 April 2025 Savings Increase in Spanish household savings in 2024 Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025 Consumption Monitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real time Josep Mestres Domènech Zoel Martín Vilató 22 April 2025 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy continues to grow at a steady pace despite the uncertain international environment CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025 Energy Ukraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for Europe Beatriz Villafranca Serrano 22 April 2025 World outlook Political decisions will shape the international economy CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025Most readUkraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for EuropeMonitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real timeGermany’s fiscal shift and the bund: when security comes at a priceThe Spanish economy ended 2024 on a strong note and faces 2025 with optimismThe diversification of Spain’s export destinations NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Real-Time Economics Inflationary pressures Podcasts Prudentemente optimistas en un contexto de incertidumbre 26/03/2025 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 11-04-2025 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 11-04-2025 Team Anna Bahí EstebaResearch Assistant Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist David Martínez TuréganoEconomist Ana María PorrasOrganization Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Enric FernándezChief Economist Meet us Nuria BustamanteLead economist Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Javier García ArenasSenior economist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Meet us Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Léopold JouvenEconomist Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Carolina CruzOrganization Sergio DíazEconomist Patricia EstebanCommunication Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Meet us Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Antonio Marta MirandaResearch assistant Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist David del ValSenior economist Meet us Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Roser FerrerSenior economist Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist María Romero MeléndezEconomista Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Meet us Imelda EstebanSenior economist Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Meet usPrint
Opinion Trump tariffs: an own goal? Trump’s tariffs will not serve to reduce the trade deficit, to recover jobs in sectors in which the US has long lost its competitive advantages or to balance the fiscal deficit. Meanwhile, the price to pay is a return to a fragmented world and the destabilisation of the… José Ramón Díez 16 April 2025
Germany Germany’s fiscal shift and the bund: when security comes at a price We analyse how the agreement to reform the constitutional debt ceiling and boost defence spending will impact German sovereign debt and the yield on the 10-year bund. David del Val 22 April 2025
European Union A shift in the EU’s political priorities The new European Commission has completed its first 100 days amid turmoil in transatlantic relations. The implementation of Trump’s agenda (and the accompanying drama) is accelerating the change in political priorities that was already foreseen for von der Leyen’s second… David Martínez Turégano 02 April 2025
Energy Ukraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for Europe One of the most highly debated issues around a partial or total peace agreement and the process of Ukraine’s reconstruction is what will happen to the European energy scenario. Will Europe once again be a major customer of Russian energy? Beatriz Villafranca Serrano 22 April 2025
Labour market & demographics AIReF’s evaluation of the pension reform: first match ball saved, but with big challenges on the horizon Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025
Consumption Monitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real time Josep Mestres Domènech Zoel Martín Vilató 22 April 2025
Foreign sector The high lending capacity continues to help reduce Spain’s foreign debt Sergio Díaz 22 April 2025
Labour market & demographics AIReF’s evaluation of the pension reform: first match ball saved, but with big challenges on the horizon Javier García Arenas 22 April 2025
Portugal outlook Portugal kicks off 2025 with a slight loss of traction in economic activity CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025
Foreign sector The high lending capacity continues to help reduce Spain’s foreign debt Sergio Díaz 22 April 2025
Consumption Monitoring consumption in over 200 Spanish towns and cities in real time Josep Mestres Domènech Zoel Martín Vilató 22 April 2025
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy continues to grow at a steady pace despite the uncertain international environment CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025
Energy Ukraine’s reconstruction and its potential energy implications for Europe Beatriz Villafranca Serrano 22 April 2025
World outlook Political decisions will shape the international economy CaixaBank Research 22 April 2025